Game 831499

Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles

Ed Smith Stadium

Mar 21, 5:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
PHI	1	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	2	8	9	0	Challenges remaining: 0
BAL	1	0	1	1	0	5	2	0	—	10	11	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

PHI

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL4PHI3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BAL75%PHI33%

75%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BAL25%PHI0%

25%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

7 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

Directional only

No handedness split has separated in the live review sample yet.

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +40

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Hold • +0.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40

RISPTwo OutsTie GameFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top1 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 1-0

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +3.82% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 53%EV +3.82%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top2 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.37% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 45%EV -1.37%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot2 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +40

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.07% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 45%EV +1.07%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot4 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -3.48% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV -3.48%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot7 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Overturned +39

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 6-8

Count Edge

+27.7 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -3.46% EV

Scenario Swing Index+39

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 45%EV -3.46%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +4.0 ptsBB +27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot7 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 6-10

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Two Outs

OVR 45%EV -2.11%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Bryan De La Cruz vs Levi Wells

Count Transition

2-1 → 1-2

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 1 • 1-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

86.4 MPH

Location

0.28 x, 1.61 z

Count Before

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.139 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +3.82% expected value at challenge time.