Game 831501

Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles

Ed Smith Stadium

Mar 19, 10:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
PIT	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	9	0	Challenges remaining: 2
BAL	1	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	—	5	7	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

PIT

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL2PIT0

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceBAL50%PITN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

50%

N/A

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceBAL0%PITN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

2 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 39.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sweeper

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Overturned +28

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-3

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.48% EV

Scenario Swing Index+28

Two Outs

OVR 53%EV +0.48%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot4 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 33

Confirmed -12

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.36% EV

Scenario Swing Index-12

Two Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Bryan Reynolds vs Trevor Rogers

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 3 • 0-3 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

78.2 MPH

Location

0.38 x, 1.72 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.038 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.48% expected value at challenge time.