Game 831502

Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox

JetBlue Park

Mar 21, 5:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
ATL	0	1	3	0	2	0	0	0	0	6	10	0	Challenges remaining: 0
BOS	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BOS

ATL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BOS2ATL3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BOS50%ATL33%

50%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BOS0%ATL0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 42.3

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 30.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 49

Overturned +35

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.16% EV

Scenario Swing Index+35

Less Than 2 Outs

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot5 • Atlanta Braves

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Overturned +28

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-1

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.80% EV

Scenario Swing Index+28

Two Outs

OVR 53%EV -0.80%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot5 • Atlanta Braves

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.21% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14

Two Outs

OVR 45%EV -0.21%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot6 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Confirmed -11

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index-11

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV -0.11%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot9 • Atlanta Braves

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.63% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Two Outs

OVR 45%EV +0.63%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Carlos Narváez vs Chris Sale

Count Transition

2-1 → 1-2

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 5 • 6-1 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

76.8 MPH

Location

-0.75 x, 2.87 z

Count Before

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.051 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

53% overturn probability and -0.80% expected value at challenge time.