Game 831505
CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
Mar 20, 10:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
6 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs LHB
67%
3 reviews
ELI 43.3
RHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 39.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Slider
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-L
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • Houston Astros
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.46% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot2 • Miami Marlins
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
3-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 3-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.18% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top3 • Houston Astros
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
2-0 → 1-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 3-0
Count Edge
+0.9 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.49% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot3 • Miami Marlins
Low Pressure • ELI 36
Count Shift
1-0
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 3-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.07% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top6 • Miami Marlins
Medium Pressure • ELI 48
Count Shift
2-2 → 3-1
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 3-2
Count Edge
+27.7 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -4.78% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot6 • Miami Marlins
Medium Pressure • ELI 53
Count Shift
Walk → 3-1
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 3-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.64% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Liam Hicks vs Bryan Abreu
Count Transition
2-2 → 3-1
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
1st and 2nd
Top 6 • 3-2 • 0 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
48
Pitch
Slider
Velocity
82.7 MPH
Location
-1.19 x, 2.17 z
Count Before
2-2
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 2-2 to 3-1.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.476 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
45% overturn probability and -4.78% expected value at challenge time.