Game 831506
Lee Health Sports Complex
Mar 16, 5:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
8 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
33%
3 reviews
ELI 44.7
LHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 53.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Sweeper
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Most Active Lane
Mid-L
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • Pittsburgh Pirates
Medium Pressure • ELI 55
Count Shift
0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.46% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top2 • Minnesota Twins
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
2-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • 0-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.24% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot2 • Minnesota Twins
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
1-1 → 2-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-1
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.16% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top4 • Minnesota Twins
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
2-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-5
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.22% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot4 • Pittsburgh Pirates
Low Pressure • ELI 28
Count Shift
2-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 1-5
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.43% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot7 • Minnesota Twins
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
0-2 → 1-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-5
Count Edge
+1.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +2.49% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot7 • Minnesota Twins
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
1-2 → 2-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-5
Count Edge
+0.9 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.12% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top9 • Minnesota Twins
Medium Pressure • ELI 53
Count Shift
Walk
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 1-5
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.89% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Marcell Ozuna vs Joe Ryan
Count Transition
0-1
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
55
Pitch
Sinker
Velocity
93.3 MPH
Location
-0.61 x, 2.25 z
Count Before
0-1
Baseball Consequence
Review held the count at 0-1.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +1.46% expected value at challenge time.