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Game 831513

Atlanta Braves at Toronto Blue Jays

TD Ballpark

Mar 10, 5:07 PM UTC

Atlanta Braves Logo
Toronto Blue Jays Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Atlanta Braves Logo
ATL
000000000060
Challenges remaining: 1
Toronto Blue Jays Logo
TOR
00021130—771
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 10, 9:42 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

TOR
ATL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TOR3ATL2
3
2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TOR33%ATL50%
33%
50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TOR0%ATL0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 45.5

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 40.0

LHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 47.0

RHP vs RHB

0%

1 review

ELI 40.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top6 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV -2.18%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot6 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Overturned +29

Count Shift

3-2 → Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 0-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.50% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29
RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot7 • Toronto Blue Jays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-7

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.28% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16
Two Outs
OVR 53%EV -0.28%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top8 • Atlanta Braves

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-7

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +3.52% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16
Two Outs
OVR 53%EV +3.52%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top9 • Atlanta Braves

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Overturned +32

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-7

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.79% EV

Scenario Swing Index+32
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV +0.79%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Toronto Blue Jays delivered a commanding 7-0 victory over the Atlanta Braves at TD Ballpark, with the AiBS system highlighting critical ball-strike call adjustments that helped clarify key moments in an otherwise decisive game. Across five challenges, two crucial calls were overturned, both favoring changes in ball counts that subtly shifted pitch sequences in the late innings, reinforcing Toronto’s control in a game that saw limited contentious umpiring decisions overall.

Notably, in the bottom of the ninth inning, Eric Hartman’s ball call for the Braves was overturned, shifting the count from 1-1 to 2-0. Although the score was already firmly in Toronto’s favor, this adjustment underscored the importance of maintaining accuracy even in lower-leverage situations. Earlier, in the sixth inning, the Blue Jays successfully challenged a 3-2 ball call on Davis Schneider, moving the count to 4-1. This review occurred without a tracked pitch event but still affirmed the need for precision as Toronto extended their lead to 3-0 at the time.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM0-1SliderCFMKCFMK

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Patrick Clohisy vs Brendon Little

Count Transition

0-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 8 • 0-7 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

47

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

88.1 MPH

Location

0.73 x, 3.16 z

Count Before

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +3.52% expected value at challenge time.

The volume of challenges was modest, with five total, of which two were overturned and three confirmed. Both teams utilized their challenge opportunities with near-equal efficiency: Toronto’s success rate was one in three, while Atlanta’s was one in two. The plate umpire ultimately saw just two of the five calls changed after review, reflecting a fairly consistent zone behind the plate. No late-and-close challenges arose, further illustrating the Blue Jays’ command throughout, particularly in innings six through nine, where most of the game’s contested moments clustered.

While pitch-location data supported all challenges, one relied on inferred coordinates, suggesting some caution in extrapolating broader strike zone trends. Still, the evidence points to measured but impactful corrections that helped reinforce Toronto’s steady dominance in the field and ultimately contributed to a clear-cut win.

Debrief quality