Skip to main content
ABS Observatory
Live FeedUmpire StatsTeam StatsArticlesAbout

Game 831515

Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox

JetBlue Park

Mar 9, 5:05 PM UTC

Philadelphia Phillies Logo
Boston Red Sox Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Philadelphia Phillies Logo
PHI
020010000360
Challenges remaining: 1
Boston Red Sox Logo
BOS
00401000—5110
Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 10, 9:43 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BOS
PHI

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BOS1PHI3
1
3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BOS100%PHI67%
100%
67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BOS0%PHI33%
0%
33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

LHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 58.5

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 56.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Cutter

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.63% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19
RISPTwo OutsTie Game
OVR 45%EV -1.63%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top5 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • 2-4

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +7.64% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37
RISPTwo Outs
OVR 53%EV +7.64%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top5 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Overturned +41

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-4

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • +0.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index+41
Two Outs
OVR 45%EV +0.10%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top7 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 66

Overturned +48

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.49% EV

Scenario Swing Index+48
Two OutsLate & Close

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Boston Red Sox edged the Philadelphia Phillies 5-3 in a contest marked by pivotal ABS challenges that underscored the game’s tight umpiring zone. Four challenges were issued, with three successful overturns, illustrating an active review component that swung in Boston’s favor as they notably flipped both their opportunities. The Phillies’ mixed outcome on challenges highlighted the fine line in verifying pitch calls under JetBlue Park’s scrutiny.

The game’s decisive moments traced primarily to the bottom halves of innings, especially the fifth and seventh. Here, ABS interventions corrected three called strikes to balls, shifting key counts and altering hitter strategies before their plate appearances concluded. Among the most consequential was Connor Wong’s overturned strike in the seventh, which converted a 2-2 count to 1-3 and aligned with Boston preserving their lead. Earlier in the fifth, a successful challenge on Otto Kemp’s called ball moved the count from 1-1 to 2-0, impacting Philadelphia’s approach amid a close 3-4 scoreline. Carlos Narváez’s reversed strike in the fifth shifted the count from 1-0 to 0-1, reinforcing how strongly ABS shaped at-bat rhythms late in the game.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
K1-1CutterCFMKB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Otto Kemp vs Zack Kelly

Count Transition

1-1 → 2-0

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 5 • 3-4 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

57

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

89.4 MPH

Location

1.04 x, 2.46 z

Count Before

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 2-0.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.044 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and +0.10% expected value at challenge time.

The plate umpire’s zone showed a tendency toward calls that challenged review and adjustment: three out of four calls were overturned, validating ABS as an essential corrective tool in this matchup. Pitch-location data for all challenges contributed to decisive rulings, underscoring the technology’s reliability. While the sample is limited, the evidence suggests a narrow strike zone that occasionally stretched beyond the conventional limits, necessitating intervention to maintain competitive balance.

Overall, Boston’s clean sweep of their challenges and late-game count corrections played a notable role in their narrow victory, demonstrating the growing impact of ABS in refining the strike zone and influencing the flow of close contests.

Debrief quality