Game 831515

Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox

JetBlue Park

Mar 9, 1:05 PM EDT

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

PHI

123456789020010000

BOS

12345678900401000—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
PHI	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	6	0	Challenges remaining: 1
BOS	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	0	—	5	11	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BOS

PHI

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BOS1PHI3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BOS100%PHI67%

100%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BOS0%PHI33%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 56.0

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 66.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Cutter

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.37% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

RISPTwo OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV -1.37%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • 2-4

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 98%EV -0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Overturned +26

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-4

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26

Two Outs

OVR 3%EV -1.10%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 66

Overturned +30

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.05% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Two OutsLate & Close

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Caleb Durbin vs Bryse Wilson

Count Transition

2-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Curveball

Velocity

80.3 MPH

Location

-0.18 x, 3.21 z

Umpire Count

2-0

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 2-0.

The review did not create a new state; 2-0 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -1.37% expected value at challenge time.