Game 831519

St. Louis Cardinals at Baltimore Orioles

Ed Smith Stadium

Mar 6, 6:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
STL	0	0	0	1	2	1	4	0	2	10	13	0	Challenges remaining: 1
BAL	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	12	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:28 AM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

STL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL1STL3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BAL0%STL67%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BAL0%STL0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

33%

3 reviews

ELI 46.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 48.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot5 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.45% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Two Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot6 • St. Louis Cardinals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.27% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV +1.27%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot8 • St. Louis Cardinals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Overturned +34

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 8-1

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +3.52% EV

Scenario Swing Index+34

Two Outs

OVR 53%EV +3.52%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot9 • St. Louis Cardinals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +35

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 10-2

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -13.82% EV

Scenario Swing Index+35

RISPLess Than 2 OutsBases Loaded

OVR 53%EV -13.82%MEDIUM RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

ABS Report

Game 831519: St. Louis Cardinals at Baltimore Orioles. Total challenges: 4. Overturned: 2. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.

Debrief quality

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Nate George vs Chris Roycroft

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 8 • 8-1 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

97.3 MPH

Location

0.63 x, 1.72 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.023 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +3.52% expected value at challenge time.