Game 831521
Lee Health Sports Complex
Mar 6, 11:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:28 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
8 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
60%
5 reviews
ELI 48.4
RHP vs RHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 48.0
LHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 45.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
4 reviews • 75% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-M
4 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot1 • Atlanta Braves
Medium Pressure • ELI 60
Count Shift
Walk → 3-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Hold • +0.10% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot1 • Minnesota Twins
Medium Pressure • ELI 55
Count Shift
3-2 → Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Hold • +0.08% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot2 • Atlanta Braves
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-1
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.53% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot3 • Minnesota Twins
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.12% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot4 • Atlanta Braves
Low Pressure • ELI 34
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-1
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.94% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot6 • Minnesota Twins
Medium Pressure • ELI 45
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-1
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.74% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top8 • Minnesota Twins
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.55% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot9 • Atlanta Braves
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
1-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.42% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831521: Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins. Total challenges: 8. Overturned: 5. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Matt Wallner vs Martín Pérez
Count Transition
0-1 → 1-0
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Bases Empty
Bot 6 • 4-1 • 2 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
45
Pitch
Sinker
Velocity
91.3 MPH
Location
-0.91 x, 2.04 z
Count Before
0-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.034 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
45% overturn probability and +0.74% expected value at challenge time.