Game 831530

Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles

Ed Smith Stadium

Feb 28, 6:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
ATL	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	1	7	12	0	Challenges remaining: 1
BAL	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	5	5	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:27 AM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

ATL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL1ATL3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BAL0%ATL67%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BAL0%ATL0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 49.0

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 44.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top4 • Atlanta Braves

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +30

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 2-1

Count Edge

+1.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.69% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV -2.69%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top4 • Atlanta Braves

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-1

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.98% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37

Two Outs

OVR 45%EV -1.98%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot9 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.81% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot9 • Atlanta Braves

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV -2.40%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

ABS Report

Game 831530: Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles. Total challenges: 4. Overturned: 2. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.

Debrief quality

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Kyle Farmer vs Ryan Helsley

Count Transition

0-2 → 1-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 4 • 2-1 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

96.4 MPH

Location

0.11 x, 1.54 z

Count Before

0-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-2 to 1-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.143 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -2.69% expected value at challenge time.