Game 831538
George M. Steinbrenner Field
Feb 25, 11:35 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:26 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
5 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs RHB
LHP vs RHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 40.0
RHP vs RHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 39.5
RHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 41.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-L
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot2 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 40
Count Shift
2-1 → 3-0
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • 0-2
Count Edge
+32.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.59% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top4 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 40
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-2
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.94% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot4 • Washington Nationals
Medium Pressure • ELI 40
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 0-2
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.01% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top5 • Washington Nationals
Medium Pressure • ELI 41
Count Shift
Strikeout → 2-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-5
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.35% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot5 • New York Yankees
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
2-1
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • 0-5
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +8.78% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831538: Washington Nationals at New York Yankees. Total challenges: 5. Overturned: 4. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
José Tena vs David Bednar
Count Transition
Strikeout → 2-2
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 5 • 0-5 • 1 out
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
41
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
94.9 MPH
Location
-0.60 x, 3.41 z
Count Before
Strikeout
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from Strikeout to 2-2.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.015 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
45% overturn probability and +0.35% expected value at challenge time.