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Game 831548

St. Louis Cardinals at Houston Astros

CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches

Feb 22, 6:05 PM UTC

St. Louis Cardinals Logo
Houston Astros Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
St. Louis Cardinals Logo
STL
004020000690
Challenges remaining: 1
Houston Astros Logo
HOU
010001003582
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:26 AM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

HOU
STL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

HOU2STL3
2
3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

HOU50%STL67%
50%
67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

HOU0%STL0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 44.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 34.0

LHP vs RHB

0%

1 review

ELI 38.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • St. Louis Cardinals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +33

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.84% EV

Scenario Swing Index+33
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 53%EV +1.84%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top5 • Houston Astros

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +24

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

2nd and 3rd • 5-1

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.59% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +0.59%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top8 • St. Louis Cardinals

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +27

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-2

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.89% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV -0.89%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot8 • St. Louis Cardinals

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 6-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • +0.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV +0.10%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top9 • Houston Astros

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV -2.40%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

ABS Report

Game 831548: St. Louis Cardinals at Houston Astros. Total challenges: 5. Overturned: 3. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.

Debrief quality

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
K0-1Four-Seam FastballCFMBBCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Miguel Ugueto vs Hudson Leach

Count Transition

0-1 → 1-0

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 8 • 6-2 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

38

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

95.2 MPH

Location

0.85 x, 2.17 z

Count Before

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.093 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -0.89% expected value at challenge time.