Game 831549

Houston Astros at New York Mets

Clover Park

Mar 21, 5:10 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
HOU	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7	9	0	Challenges remaining: 2
NYM	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	5	11	2	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

NYM

HOU

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

NYM3HOU0

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceNYM67%HOUN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

67%

N/A

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceNYM33%HOUN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

33%

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

Directional only

No handedness split has separated in the live review sample yet.

Most Targeted Pitch

Changeup

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +40

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-27.7 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.87% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 53%EV +0.87%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -4.0 ptsBB -27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top2 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +42

Count Shift

Walk → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.20% EV

Scenario Swing Index+42

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top8 • New York Mets

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 6-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.71% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Christian Walker vs Jonah Tong

Count Transition

Walk → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Plate Appearance Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 2 • 1-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Changeup

Velocity

85.1 MPH

Location

0.56 x, 2.98 z

Count Before

Walk

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from Walk to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.20% expected value at challenge time.