Game 831551

Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies

BayCare Ballpark

Mar 19, 5:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
TB	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	Challenges remaining: 1
PHI	0	2	1	0	2	3	0	0	—	8	11	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

PHI

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

PHI2TB3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

PHI50%TB67%

50%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

PHI0%TB0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 39.7

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

4 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot3 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Overturned +28

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-3

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.49% EV

Scenario Swing Index+28

Two Outs

OVR 53%EV -0.49%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot5 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

3-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 2-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.84% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV -2.84%MEDIUM RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot6 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Overturned +29

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 2-5

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.27% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV +2.27%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top8 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +27

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-8

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.70% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV +0.70%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top9 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-8

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.62% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV -2.62%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

J.D. Gonzalez vs Génesis Cabrera

Count Transition

1-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 9 • 2-8 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

93.7 MPH

Location

0.88 x, 2.61 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 1-0.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -2.62% expected value at challenge time.