Game 831552
LECOM Park
Mar 22, 5:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 25, 3:24 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs RHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 55.5
RHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 59.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-L
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot6 • Pittsburgh Pirates
Medium Pressure • ELI 57
Count Shift
0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-2
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.15% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top7 • Pittsburgh Pirates
Medium Pressure • ELI 56
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-2
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.14% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot8 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 54
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 5-3
Count Edge
-1.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.52% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot8 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 59
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 5-3
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +3.52% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot9 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 54
Count Shift
2-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 6-3
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.32% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates ended with Boston Red Sox 6, Pittsburgh Pirates 3, and the ABS layer of the game was defined by 5 total challenges with 3 overturns. Boston Red Sox got the most value from review, finishing 2-for-3 on its challenges.
In Bottom 8, Boston Red Sox challenged for Mickey Gasper on a Called Strike, and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 8, Boston Red Sox challenged for on a , and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 7, challenged for on a , and the review overturned the call.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Darell Morel vs Zack Kelly
Count Transition
2-0
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Empty
Bot 9 • 6-3 • 1 out
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
54
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
96.1 MPH
Location
-0.88 x, 2.89 z
Count Before
2-0
Baseball Consequence
Review held the count at 2-0.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
45% overturn probability and -0.32% expected value at challenge time.
Overall, the plate umpire had 3 calls overturned out of 5 reviews, with 2 confirmed. Pitch-location evidence was available on 5 of 5 challenges, which gives the umpire section enough support for a limited zone read. The report is based on challenge events only, not the full pitch-by-pitch plate appearance context. This recap used the deterministic fallback template rather than a model-written narrative, so it stays compact and evidence-based.