Game 831553

Toronto Blue Jays at Pittsburgh Pirates

LECOM Park

Mar 21, 5:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
TOR	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	3	7	2	Challenges remaining: 1
PIT	0	0	1	2	0	3	0	2	—	8	9	1	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

PIT

TOR

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

PIT4TOR1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

PIT100%TOR0%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

PIT0%TOR0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 40.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 50.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

4 reviews • 75% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +36

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • +0.07% EV

Scenario Swing Index+36

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 45%EV +0.07%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot3 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.52% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37

Two Outs

OVR 45%EV -0.52%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top5 • Toronto Blue Jays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.26% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV +2.26%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top6 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +30

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-3

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +3.13% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV +3.13%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top8 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +27

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-6

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.70% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV +0.70%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Je'Von Ward vs José Urquidy

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 8 • 1-6 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

91.4 MPH

Location

-0.81 x, 2.93 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.093 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.70% expected value at challenge time.