Game 831554

Minnesota Twins at Philadelphia Phillies

BayCare Ballpark

Mar 17, 5:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0	Challenges remaining: 0
PHI	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	—	2	7	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

PHI

MIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

PHI2MIN2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

PHI100%MIN0%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

PHI50%MIN0%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 53.0

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 50.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

Walk → 3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Hold • +0.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top2 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.79% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 53%EV +2.79%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top3 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.25% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 53%EV +0.25%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top9 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +43

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-2

Count Edge

-27.7 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.25% EV

Scenario Swing Index+43

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 53%EV +2.25%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -4.0 ptsBB -27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Kala'i Rosario vs Trevor Richards

Count Transition

3-1 → 2-2

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 9 • 0-2 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

92.0 MPH

Location

0.30 x, 1.80 z

Count Before

3-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 3-1 to 2-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.137 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +2.25% expected value at challenge time.