Game 831556
Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium
Mar 18, 5:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Tonight's Review Pattern
1 reviewed pitch so far • 1 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 52.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Changeup
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-M
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot6 • Houston Astros
Medium Pressure • ELI 52
Count Shift
1-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.54% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Pedro Pagés vs AJ Blubaugh
Count Transition
1-2 → Strikeout
Result
Call Overturned
Plate Appearance Changed
Game State
Bases Empty
Bot 6 • Tie 1-1 • 0 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
52
Pitch
Changeup
Velocity
85.6 MPH
Location
0.22 x, 1.75 z
Count Before
1-2
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 1-2 to Strikeout.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.058 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +0.54% expected value at challenge time.