Game 831557

Tampa Bay Rays at Atlanta Braves

CoolToday Park

Mar 16, 5:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
TB	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	9	0	Challenges remaining: 1
ATL	0	4	0	2	2	0	0	3	—	11	15	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

ATL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

ATL3TB1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

ATL67%TB0%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

ATL0%TB0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

33%

3 reviews

ELI 39.0

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Atlanta Braves

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +46

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Hold • +0.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index+46

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot2 • Atlanta Braves

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.76% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV +0.76%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot2 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 33

Confirmed -12

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.16% EV

Scenario Swing Index-12

Two Outs

OVR 45%EV +1.16%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top7 • Atlanta Braves

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +30

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-8

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV -1.01%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Michael Harris II vs Nick Martinez

Count Transition

0-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 2 • 0-1 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

84.5 MPH

Location

-0.80 x, 2.09 z

Count Before

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.76% expected value at challenge time.