Game 831559

Toronto Blue Jays at Miami Marlins

Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium

Mar 16, 5:10 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
TOR	1	0	4	0	0	0	—	—	—	5	8	1	Challenges remaining: 0
MIA	1	1	1	0	1	—	—	—	—	4	8	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIA

TOR

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIA3TOR4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIA67%TOR50%

67%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIA0%TOR0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

7 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 42.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 45.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Splitter

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +30

Count Shift

2-1 → 3-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-0

Count Edge

+32.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -4.63% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV -4.63%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -5.8 ptsBB +37.9 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot1 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +30

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+1.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.68% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV -0.68%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot2 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.73% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 45%EV -0.73%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot2 • Toronto Blue Jays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.36% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37

Two Outs

OVR 53%EV -1.36%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top3 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.28% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV -2.28%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top4 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Overturned +45

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.36% EV

Scenario Swing Index+45

Two Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot6 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 5-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.00% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV +1.00%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Davis Schneider vs Janson Junk

Count Transition

2-1 → 3-0

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 1 • 1-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

81.3 MPH

Location

1.01 x, 2.39 z

Count Before

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-1 to 3-0.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.303 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -4.63% expected value at challenge time.