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Game 831562

Baltimore Orioles at Pittsburgh Pirates

LECOM Park

Mar 14, 5:05 PM UTC

Baltimore Orioles Logo
Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Baltimore Orioles Logo
BAL
0020021016130
Challenges remaining: 1
Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
PIT
11000132—8121
Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 22, 9:51 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

PIT
BAL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

PIT2BAL3
2
3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

PIT100%BAL67%
100%
67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

PIT50%BAL33%
50%
33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

75%

4 reviews

ELI 54.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +36

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.14% EV

Scenario Swing Index+36
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 53%EV -1.14%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top3 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.66% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 53%EV +0.66%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top6 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +40

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 45%EV -2.18%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top7 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +43

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-3

Count Edge

-1.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.58% EV

Scenario Swing Index+43
Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 53%EV -1.58%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top7 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +43

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.63% EV

Scenario Swing Index+43
Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Pittsburgh Pirates edged the Baltimore Orioles 8-6 at LECOM Park in a game where umpire reviews played a pivotal role in shaping key at-bats and momentum shifts. Both teams actively challenged umpire calls, with Pittsburgh achieving a perfect 2-for-2 overturn rate, while Baltimore managed 2 successful challenges out of 3 attempts. Overall, four of the five total challenges were overturned, underscoring the impact of video review on the contest.

Most review activity clustered in the late innings, particularly in the seventh and sixth, where the count-changing overturned calls notably affected plate discipline and pitch selection. For instance, the Pirates’ Henry Davis had a called strike reversed on a 1-1 count, flipping it to 0-2 and altering the at-bat dynamic in a tight 4-3 situation. Baltimore’s Taylor Ward and Blaze Alexander both benefitted from ball calls overturned to favorable counts, with Ward’s count going from 3-3 to 4-2 and Alexander’s changing from 0-1 to 1-0, each moment occurring in innings when the game was closely contested.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM0-2SliderBBKK

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Pete Alonso vs Carmen Mlodzinski

Count Transition

0-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 3 • Tie 2-2 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

46

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

89.4 MPH

Location

0.12 x, 1.78 z

Count Before

0-2

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 0-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.66% expected value at challenge time.

The plate umpiring saw four of five calls overturned, reflecting a zone that was tightly policed but ultimately subject to correction when challenged. With pitch-tracking data supporting each review, though one involved inferred coordinates, the evidence suggests the umpires’ initial judgments often tilted toward calling strike or ball but were amendable upon review. This interchange of challenge and confirmation evidently contributed to the game’s competitive rhythm, particularly as late-and-close opportunities arose.

While the ABS data captures the influence of review decisions on counts and potentially at-bat outcomes, the overall effect on scoring remains embedded within the final 8-6 result. The overturns prevented potential premature at-bat conclusions and preserved crucial opportunities for batters to extend their plate appearances, playing into the back-and-forth scoring environment seen late in the game.

Debrief quality