Game 831571

Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates

LECOM Park

Mar 8, 1:05 PM EDT

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

BOS

123456789001110220

PIT

12345678902110401—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BOS	0	0	1	1	1	0	2	2	0	7	13	0	Challenges remaining: 1
PIT	0	2	1	1	0	4	0	1	—	9	12	2	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

PIT

BOS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

PIT3BOS1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

PIT33%BOS0%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

PIT0%BOS100%

100%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs SHB

RHP vs LHB

2 reviews

ELI 63.5

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

RHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 42.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot3 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

2nd and 3rd • 1-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +4.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV +4.72%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

3-0 → 2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 2-3

Count Edge

-61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.65% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.65%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -5.9 ptsBB -90.1 pts

Bot5 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Ryan O'Hearn challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Ryan O'Hearn called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.23% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Two Outs

Bot8 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 63

Confirmed -22

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 7-8

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.90% EV

Scenario Swing Index-22

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 98%EV +1.90%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Bryan Reynolds vs Kyle Keller

Count Transition

0-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

2nd and 3rd

Bot 3 • 1-2 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

94.4 MPH

Location

-0.27 x, 1.58 z

Umpire Count

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 0-1.

The review preserved the original state; 0-1 situations typically carry +0.000 of run expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

39% overturn probability and +4.72% expected value at challenge time.