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Game 831573

New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies

BayCare Ballpark

Mar 10, 5:05 PM UTC

New York Yankees Logo
Philadelphia Phillies Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
New York Yankees Logo
NYY
110002000472
Challenges remaining: 0
Philadelphia Phillies Logo
PHI
011000000280
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 10, 9:42 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

PHI
NYY

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

PHI2NYY4
2
4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

PHI0%NYY50%
0%
50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

PHI50%NYY25%
50%
25%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

25%

4 reviews

ELI 57.8

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 55.0

RHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 51.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 2-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.76% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +0.76%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot4 • New York Yankees

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +40

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.44% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40
Two OutsTie Game
OVR 53%EV -0.44%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top5 • New York Yankees

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 68

Overturned +49

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.41% EV

Scenario Swing Index+49
RISPTwo OutsTie Game

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top6 • New York Yankees

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.59% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18
Two OutsFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top7 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 61

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.49% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21
Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 45%EV +0.49%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top9 • New York Yankees

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21
Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 53%EV +2.43%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The New York Yankees edged the Philadelphia Phillies 4-2 at BayCare Ballpark, with the game’s narrative shaped notably by a series of umpire challenges that both affirmed and adjusted pivotal moments at the plate. Across six total challenges, only two were overturned—all originating from Yankee appeals—highlighting the critical role of technology in refining strike and ball calls that influenced key at-bats and, ultimately, the game’s momentum.

The Yankees’ ability to successfully overturn two calls in the middle innings stands out, particularly in the bottom of the fourth and fifth frames, when Jonathan Ornelas and J.C. Escarra each benefited from corrected ball-strike counts that extended their plate appearances in a 2-2 tie scenario. These adjustments, changing counts from 2-3 to 3-2 and 2-0 to 1-1 respectively, injected renewed offensive life, underscoring how precise strike zone adjudication can subtly shift the rhythm during close contests. Although the Phillies were unable to reverse their two challenges, the combined six disputes were concentrated in the mid- to late innings, reflecting heightened scrutiny when the game hung in the balance.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B2-0SliderCFMCFMCFMCFMK

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Pedro León vs Tim Hill

Count Transition

2-0 → 1-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 4 • Tie 2-2 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

55

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

75.6 MPH

Location

-0.50 x, 3.12 z

Count Before

2-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-0 to 1-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.044 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

53% overturn probability and -0.44% expected value at challenge time.

Interestingly, while pitch location data played a crucial role in six of six challenges reviewed—with only one relying on inferred locations—caution remains prudent when interpreting strike zone trends across the contest. The plate umpire’s overall overturn rate of two calls out of six challenges aligns with a zone that, while generally consistent, allowed for critical intervention at defining moments. In a matchup decided by a narrow two-run margin, the impact of these rulings was subtle but tangible, influencing the Yankees’ ability to maintain pressure and capitalize on key at-bats.

This game demonstrates how ABS interventions are becoming integral to game flow, not by wholesale altering outcomes but by ensuring crucial calls withstand analytical scrutiny, particularly in tightly contested innings. The Yankees leveraged this edge efficiently, a factor that coincided with their eventual 4-2 victory over a Phillies squad that could not find footing in their limited challenge opportunities.

Debrief quality