Game 831592
TD Ballpark
Mar 22, 5:07 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 25, 3:25 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
6 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
50%
4 reviews
ELI 34.0
RHP vs LHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 33.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-L
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot2 • Toronto Blue Jays
Low Pressure • ELI 28
Count Shift
1-1
Base / Score
2nd and 3rd • 0-6
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +2.13% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top3 • Toronto Blue Jays
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
Walk → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-6
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.29% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot4 • Toronto Blue Jays
Low Pressure • ELI 24
Count Shift
2-2 → 3-1
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 0-6
Count Edge
+27.7 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +4.75% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot4 • Tampa Bay Rays
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
3-1
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 0-10
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -3.13% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top7 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-13
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.64% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top7 • Toronto Blue Jays
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
2-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-13
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.63% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays ended with Tampa Bay Rays 1, Toronto Blue Jays 14, and the ABS layer of the game was defined by 6 total challenges with 3 overturns. Toronto Blue Jays got the most value from review, finishing 3-for-4 on its challenges.
In Bottom 7, Toronto Blue Jays challenged for Tyler Heineman on a Called Strike, and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 3, Toronto Blue Jays challenged for on a , and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 4, challenged for on a , and the review overturned the call.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Jesús Sánchez vs Nick Martinez
Count Transition
3-1
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Runner on 2nd
Bot 4 • 0-10 • 2 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
33
Pitch
Cutter
Velocity
87.6 MPH
Location
0.32 x, 3.54 z
Count Before
3-1
Baseball Consequence
Review held the count at 3-1.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
45% overturn probability and -3.13% expected value at challenge time.
Overall, the plate umpire had 3 calls overturned out of 6 reviews, with 3 confirmed. Pitch-location evidence was available on 6 of 6 challenges, but 2 relied on inferred coordinates, so zone takeaways should stay measured. 2 challenge locations relied on inferred coordinates, so any zone commentary should be treated as directional rather than exact. This recap used the deterministic fallback template rather than a model-written narrative, so it stays compact and evidence-based.