Game 831600

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays

TD Ballpark

Mar 18, 5:07 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BAL	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	7	0	Challenges remaining: 1
TOR	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	5	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

TOR

BAL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TOR3BAL1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TOR33%BAL0%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TOR0%BAL0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

2 reviews

ELI 49.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Toronto Blue Jays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Overturned +32

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-0

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index+32

Two Outs

OVR 53%EV +0.40%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot2 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 2-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.21% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV +0.21%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top3 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 2-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.25% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV +0.25%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top5 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • +0.04% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV +0.04%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Ryan Mountcastle vs Louis Varland

Count Transition

1-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 5 • 3-1 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

97.0 MPH

Location

-0.15 x, 1.58 z

Count Before

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 1-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and +0.04% expected value at challenge time.