Game 831601
Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium
Mar 21, 5:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Tonight's Review Pattern
4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs RHB
LHP vs RHB
100%
3 reviews
ELI 52.7
LHP vs LHB
0%
1 review
ELI 56.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Curveball
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-L
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top2 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 55
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.07% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top4 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
1-2 → 2-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-0
Count Edge
+0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.31% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot6 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 52
Count Shift
2-0 → 1-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
+0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +7.56% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top7 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 56
Count Shift
0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 3rd • 1-2
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.94% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Paul DeJong vs Framber Valdez
Count Transition
1-2 → 2-1
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 4 • 1-0 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
51
Pitch
Curveball
Velocity
77.7 MPH
Location
0.55 x, 3.62 z
Count Before
1-2
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 1-2 to 2-1.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.051 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
45% overturn probability and +1.31% expected value at challenge time.