Game 831602

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

Charlotte Sports Park

Mar 20, 5:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	Challenges remaining: 2
TB	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	—	2	7	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BOS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TB3BOS4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TB67%BOS100%

67%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TB0%BOS25%

25%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

7 reviewed pitches so far • 6 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

LHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 52.7

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +40

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+1.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.29% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40

RISPTwo OutsTie Game

OVR 45%EV -0.29%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot1 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 0-1

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.38% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 45%EV +0.38%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot2 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +30

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.33% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV +0.33%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot2 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +46

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.21% EV

Scenario Swing Index+46

Less Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top3 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +33

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-1

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.74% EV

Scenario Swing Index+33

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV +0.74%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot5 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • +0.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Two Outs

OVR 53%EV +0.03%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top7 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +43

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.12% EV

Scenario Swing Index+43

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 45%EV -1.12%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Junior Caminero vs Blake Wehunt

Count Transition

0-1 → 1-0

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Runner on 2nd

Bot 1 • 0-1 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

96.8 MPH

Location

0.81 x, 1.91 z

Count Before

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.046 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

45% overturn probability and +0.38% expected value at challenge time.