Game 831602
Charlotte Sports Park
Mar 20, 1:05 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
7 reviewed pitches so far • 6 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
100%
3 reviews
ELI 51.7
LHP vs RHB
67%
3 reviews
ELI 52.7
RHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 51.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Changeup
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-R
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 55
Count Shift
0-2 → 1-1
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +2.43% EV
Bot1 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 0-1
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.01% EV
Bot2 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-1
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.75% EV
Bot2 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
1-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 0-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.03% EV
Top3 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 0-1
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -1.55% EV
Bot5 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 57
Count Shift
0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.11% EV
Top7 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 60
Count Shift
1-2 → 2-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-1
Count Edge
+17.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -2.43% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Willson Contreras vs Shane McClanahan
Count Transition
0-2 → 1-1
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
1st and 2nd
Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
55
Pitch
Changeup
Velocity
87.1 MPH
Location
0.85 x, 2.40 z
Umpire Count
0-2
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 0-2 to 1-1.
Comparable game states move win expectancy by +4.04% from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned challenge
67% overturn probability and +2.43% expected value at challenge time.