Game 831609
Charlotte Sports Park
Mar 17, 5:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
8 reviewed pitches so far • 6 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 53.5
RHP vs LHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 57.5
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
4 reviews • 75% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-R
3 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot1 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
-1.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.75% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top2 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 56
Count Shift
3-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.16% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top2 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-0
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.07% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot3 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-0
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.52% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot6 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 61
Count Shift
Strikeout → Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.53% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top7 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 64
Count Shift
Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.63% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot8 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 60
Count Shift
3-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.72% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top9 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 60
Count Shift
1-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 3-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.96% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Trent Grisham vs Ryan Pepiot
Count Transition
3-1
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 2 • 1-0 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
56
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
92.5 MPH
Location
-0.77 x, 2.75 z
Count Before
3-1
Baseball Consequence
Review held the count at 3-1.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +0.16% expected value at challenge time.