Game 831610

Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers

Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium

Mar 17, 5:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BAL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	7	1	Challenges remaining: 0
DET	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	4	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

DET

BAL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

DET2BAL2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

DET100%BAL0%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

DET0%BAL0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 49.0

RHP vs LHB

2 reviews

ELI 53.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • Detroit Tigers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +33

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.37% EV

Scenario Swing Index+33

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 53%EV +0.37%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot4 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.60% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 45%EV -2.60%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top6 • Detroit Tigers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Overturned +37

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.90% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV +0.90%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top6 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.54% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Two Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Pete Alonso vs Kenley Jansen

Count Transition

2-0 → 1-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 6 • 1-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

91.5 MPH

Location

-0.39 x, 1.75 z

Count Before

2-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-0 to 1-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.058 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.90% expected value at challenge time.