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Game 831613

Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins

Lee Health Sports Complex

Mar 14, 1:05 PM EDT

Tampa Bay Rays Logo
Minnesota Twins Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Tampa Bay Rays Logo
TB

R

9

H

10

E

0

123456789010201104
Challenges remaining: 0
Minnesota Twins Logo
MIN

R

6

H

6

E

0

123456789001020003
Challenges remaining: 0
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Tampa Bay Rays Logo
TB
0102011049100
Challenges remaining: 0
Minnesota Twins Logo
MIN
001020003660
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIN
TB

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIN2TB2
2
2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIN0%TB0%
0%
0%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIN0%TB0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 0 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs LHB

0%

2 reviews

ELI 60.0

RHP vs RHB

0%

1 review

ELI 42.0

RHP vs SHB

0%

1 review

ELI 57.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

1 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Minnesota Twins

James Outman challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: James Outman called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.35% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18
Two OutsFull Count

Bot2 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 58

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.07% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20
Two Outs
OVR 63%EV -0.07%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot3 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.16% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 3%EV -1.16%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20
Two Outs
OVR 39%EV -1.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM3-3Four-Seam FastballCFMCFMCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

James Outman vs Jake Woodford

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 2 • 1-0 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

51

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

91.9 MPH

Location

-0.68 x, 3.26 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Strikeout.

The review did not create a new state; Strikeout situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.35% expected value at challenge time.