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Game 831613

Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins

Lee Health Sports Complex

Mar 14, 5:05 PM UTC

Tampa Bay Rays Logo
Minnesota Twins Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Tampa Bay Rays Logo
TB
0102011049100
Challenges remaining: 0
Minnesota Twins Logo
MIN
001020003660
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 22, 9:51 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIN
TB

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIN2TB2
2
2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIN0%TB0%
0%
0%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIN0%TB0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 0 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs LHB

0%

2 reviews

ELI 54.5

RHP vs RHB

0%

1 review

ELI 42.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-R

1 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.20% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18
Two OutsFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot2 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 58

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • +0.14% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20
Two Outs
OVR 45%EV +0.14%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot3 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.66% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +0.66%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top6 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.15% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20
Two Outs
OVR 53%EV -1.15%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Tampa Bay Rays edged the Minnesota Twins 9-6 at Lee Health Sports Complex, with a tightly contested ABS review narrative that underscored the consistency of the umpiring zone. All four challenges—two from each side—resulted in confirmations of the original called strikes, highlighting a game where the on-field judgment held firm under scrutiny. Notably, none of the challenges were successful in overturning calls, indicating a stable strike zone amid competitive at-bats.

Early in the game, the Twins’ challenges in the second and third innings came at crucial moments when the Rays were leading 1-0, with counts at 3-3 and 0-2, respectively. These calls, both confirmed, reinforced the subtle pressure pitchers exerted in the zone, especially as hitters worked counts deep. Later, a key Rays challenge in the sixth inning with Logan Davidson on the mound and the score at 4-3 also upheld a strike call, confirming the plate umpire’s strike zone consistency even as the lead fluctuated. Despite the critical nature of these moments, the absence of any overturned challenge reflects precise and reliable strike calls throughout the innings.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM0-2Four-Seam FastballCFMCFMCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Orlando Arcia vs Cole Sulser

Count Transition

0-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 3 • 1-0 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

42

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

91.7 MPH

Location

0.65 x, 2.54 z

Count Before

0-2

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 0-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.66% expected value at challenge time.

The distribution of challenge activity—with the bottom of the second being most prominent—alongside the tracking of pitch locations for all reviewed calls, supports a view of an umpiring crew maintaining control without frequent missteps. One inferred pitch location suggests a slight caution in reading zone data, but overall the evidence points to consistent strike zones shaping the game’s scoring rhythm. With no late-and-close challenges recorded, the managerial staff on both sides seemed confident or resigned to the umpiring, embracing the calls that shaped an entertaining back-and-forth contest.

While limited to four challenges, this data depicts a game defined less by contested umpire decisions and more by the offense’s ability to convert opportunities. The Rays’ three-run margin emerged through sustained at-bats rather than pivotal review successes, signaling a contest where the ABS story is one of confirmed strike zone fidelity amid competitive scoring.

Debrief quality