Game 831616
JetBlue Park
Mar 13, 1:05 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
7 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
100%
3 reviews
ELI 54.7
RHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 59.0
RHP vs SHB
0%
1 review
ELI 42.0
LHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 59.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
4 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-M
3 reviews • 33% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top2 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 55
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -1.48% EV
Top4 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 2-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.73% EV
Top5 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 48
Count Shift
Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 2-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.41% EV
Top6 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 2-4
Count Edge
-17.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.02% EV
Top6 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 58
Count Shift
Strikeout → 2-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 2-4
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.17% EV
Top7 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 59
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-6
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -1.12% EV
Bot7 • Boston Red Sox
High Pressure • ELI 65
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 6-7
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.16% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Ryan Vilade vs Johan Oviedo
Count Transition
0-1 → 1-0
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 2 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
55
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
93.8 MPH
Location
0.53 x, 3.46 z
Umpire Count
0-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.
Comparable game states move win expectancy by -2.50% from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
39% overturn probability and -1.48% expected value at challenge time.