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Game 831621

New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers

Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium

Mar 12, 5:05 PM UTC

New York Yankees Logo
Detroit Tigers Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
New York Yankees Logo
NYY
210000001450
Challenges remaining: 1
Detroit Tigers Logo
DET
000020010341
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 22, 9:47 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

DET
NYY

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

DET2NYY4
2
4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

DET50%NYY75%
50%
75%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

DET50%NYY25%
50%
25%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 41.3

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 34.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 56.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

4 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • New York Yankees

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Overturned +26

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-0

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.46% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +0.46%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot1 • New York Yankees

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Overturned +26

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-0

Count Edge

-1.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.75% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +0.75%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top4 • Detroit Tigers

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +24

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 3-0

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +5.51% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24
RISPLess Than 2 OutsBases Loaded
OVR 53%EV +5.51%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top6 • New York Yankees

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV -0.18%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot7 • New York Yankees

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +40

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-2

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -5.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40
Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 53%EV -5.40%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top9 • Detroit Tigers

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 66

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 3-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.00% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23
Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game
OVR 45%EV -1.00%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The New York Yankees edged the Detroit Tigers 4-3 in a tightly contested affair at Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium. The Advanced Baseball Statistics (AiBS) theme in this game centered on umpire decisions, with six total challenges resulting in four overturned calls—a mark of active and largely effective, evidence-driven reviews shaping the contest’s flow. The Yankees notably benefited more from those challenges, reversing three of their four attempts and directly influencing key moments in their late and early innings.

Early in the game’s bottom of the first inning, the Yankees’ J.C. Escarra saw two called strikes overturned, shifting counts from 1-0 to 0-1 and then 1-1 to 0-2. This effectively altered the at-bat dynamics, helping maintain pressure and extending opportunities during a frame that featured two challenges alone. Later, in the decisive seventh inning with a narrow 3-2 lead, Miguel Palma’s strike call was overturned, changing a 2-0 count to 1-1 and giving the Yankees a vital pitch count adjustment with potential strategic implications down the stretch.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM1-0SinkerBBCFMBB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Miguel Palma vs Johan Simon

Count Transition

1-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 9 • Tie 3-3 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

66

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

93.8 MPH

Location

0.14 x, 1.39 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 1-0.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -1.00% expected value at challenge time.

The Tigers’ lone successful overturn came from their two challenges, while overall, the plate umpire lost four out of six calls after review. Pitch location data confirmed the integrity of officiating adjustments, lending clarity to close strike-zone judgments. The season's early timing and near-even challenge totals suggest a game where correct calls on the margins had a notable but not overwhelming influence on the final outcome.

While neither side fully controlled the narrative of umpiring, the Yankees’ higher overturn rate reflects a slightly sharper use of challenges, dovetailing with their one-run victory. The data provides a solid window into how the modern review system subtly but meaningfully adjusted the contest's balance without dominating it, framing an exciting and well-contested spring matchup.

Debrief quality