Game 831630

Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles

Ed Smith Stadium

Mar 7, 1:05 PM EST

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

MIN

123456789100000100

BAL

12345678900000210—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIN	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	5	0	Challenges remaining: 0
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	—	3	7	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

MIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

BAL4MIN2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

BAL50%MIN0%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

BAL0%MIN0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

LHP vs RHB

25%

4 reviews

ELI 52.5

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

LHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 48.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -2.26% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 59%EV -2.26%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot2 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.06% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Two Outs

OVR 3%EV -1.06%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top3 • Minnesota Twins

Austin Martin challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Austin Martin called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.30% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Top3 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.19% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Two Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.19%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.41% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.41%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Baltimore Orioles

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV +0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Telemetry Unavailable

Focus

Luke Keaschall vs Cade Povich

Count Transition

2-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Unknown

Velocity

N/A

Location

Location unavailable

Umpire Count

2-0

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 2-0.

The review did not create a new state; 2-0 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

59% overturn probability and -2.26% expected value at challenge time.