Game 831631
Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium
Mar 6, 6:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:28 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Tonight's Review Pattern
5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs RHB
RHP vs LHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 52.0
RHP vs RHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 39.0
LHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 36.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
4 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-R
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
Strikeout → Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Hold • +0.09% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top1 • Boston Red Sox
Low Pressure • ELI 36
Count Shift
1-2 → 2-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 2-0
Count Edge
+0.9 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.73% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot2 • Boston Red Sox
Low Pressure • ELI 36
Count Shift
3-0 → 2-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 2-0
Count Edge
-32.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.52% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot6 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 58
Count Shift
1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 2-4
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.42% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top8 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • 2-9
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.94% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831631: Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers. Total challenges: 5. Overturned: 3. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Braiden Ward vs Justin Verlander
Count Transition
Strikeout → Walk
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Runner on 1st
Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
46
Pitch
Slider
Velocity
88.5 MPH
Location
0.19 x, 3.37 z
Count Before
Strikeout
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from Strikeout to Walk.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
45% overturn probability and +0.09% expected value at challenge time.