Bot2 • Tampa Bay Rays
Called Strike
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.84% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Game 831643
JetBlue Park
Feb 26, 6:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:26 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
6 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs RHB
LHP vs RHB
60%
5 reviews
ELI 44.6
RHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 39.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Sinker
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-L
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot2 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.84% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot2 • Boston Red Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.53% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top3 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 55
Count Shift
0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.48% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot4 • Boston Red Sox
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • 0-4
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +2.53% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top5 • Tampa Bay Rays
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 2-7
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -6.70% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top5 • Boston Red Sox
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
2-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 2-7
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • +0.10% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831643: Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox. Total challenges: 6. Overturned: 3. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Junior Caminero vs Jovani Morán
Count Transition
0-1 → 1-0
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
1st and 2nd
Top 5 • 2-7 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
39
Pitch
Cutter
Velocity
87.0 MPH
Location
-0.90 x, 2.90 z
Count Before
0-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.126 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
45% overturn probability and -6.70% expected value at challenge time.