Game 831646
Charlotte Sports Park
Feb 27, 1:05 PM EST
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 39.5
LHP vs LHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 45.5
LHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 43.0
RHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 45.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Cutter
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-L
3 reviews • 33% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top2 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 45
Count Shift
1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-3
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -1.96% EV
Bot2 • Toronto Blue Jays
Medium Pressure • ELI 40
Count Shift
Walk → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-3
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.05% EV
Bot2 • Toronto Blue Jays
Medium Pressure • ELI 40
Count Shift
2-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-3
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.50% EV
Bot2 • Tampa Bay Rays
Medium Pressure • ELI 45
Count Shift
1-1 → 2-0
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 1-3
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.99% EV
Bot3 • Tampa Bay Rays
Low Pressure • ELI 34
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
2nd and 3rd • 1-4
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.69% EV
Top7 • Toronto Blue Jays
Low Pressure • ELI 38
Count Shift
3-2 → Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 1-5
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.01% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Riley Tirotta vs Ryan Pepiot
Count Transition
1-0
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 2 • 1-3 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
45
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
93.8 MPH
Location
-0.85 x, 3.05 z
Umpire Count
1-0
Baseball Consequence
Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 1-0.
The review did not create a new state; 1-0 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
44% overturn probability and -1.96% expected value at challenge time.