Game 831649
TD Ballpark
Feb 24, 6:07 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:26 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
10 reviewed pitches so far • 8 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
83%
6 reviews
ELI 42.0
RHP vs RHB
75%
4 reviews
ELI 40.8
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
4 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Mid-L
3 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
1-1 → 2-0
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.44% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top2 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
2nd and 3rd • 2-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.24% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot2 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 2-1
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.30% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top3 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 49
Count Shift
Strikeout → 2-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 2-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.25% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top4 • New York Yankees
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
Strikeout → Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 4-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.36% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top4 • New York Yankees
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
1-1 → 2-0
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 4-1
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +2.83% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top5 • Toronto Blue Jays
Low Pressure • ELI 36
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 4-1
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.84% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top5 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 41
Count Shift
Strikeout → 2-2
Base / Score
Runner on 3rd • 6-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.41% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot6 • Toronto Blue Jays
Low Pressure • ELI 34
Count Shift
1-2 → 2-1
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • 7-2
Count Edge
+0.9 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -6.87% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot7 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 61
Count Shift
3-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 7-5
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.57% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831649: New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays. Total challenges: 10. Overturned: 8. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
José Caballero vs Angel Bastardo
Count Transition
Strikeout → Walk
Result
Call Overturned
Plate Appearance Changed
Game State
Runner on 1st
Top 4 • 4-1 • 0 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
30
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
97.2 MPH
Location
0.40 x, 1.50 z
Count Before
Strikeout
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from Strikeout to Walk.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
45% overturn probability and +0.36% expected value at challenge time.