Game 831649

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays

TD Ballpark

Feb 24, 1:07 PM EST

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

NYY

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TOR

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
NYY	2	0	2	0	3	0	0	1	0	8	11	1	Challenges remaining: 0
TOR	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	7	11	1	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

TOR

NYY

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TOR2NYY8

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TOR100%NYY75%

100%

75%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TOR0%NYY13%

13%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

10 reviewed pitches so far • 8 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

83%

6 reviews

ELI 43.2

RHP vs RHB

75%

4 reviews

ELI 43.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

4 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-L

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • New York Yankees

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV +1.03%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top2 • New York Yankees

Trent Grisham challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Trent Grisham called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

2nd and 3rd • 2-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.81% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Bot2 • New York Yankees

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 2-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -0.03%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top3 • New York Yankees

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 49

Overturned +22

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 2-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.24% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

Less Than 2 Outs

Top4 • New York Yankees

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +14

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-1

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.56% EV

Scenario Swing Index+14

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.56%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • New York Yankees

José Caballero challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: José Caballero walks.

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +14

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.19% EV

Scenario Swing Index+14

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Top5 • Toronto Blue Jays

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Overturned +16

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.25% EV

Scenario Swing Index+16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.25%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • New York Yankees

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 41

Overturned +18

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • 6-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.31% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Bot6 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +15

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • 7-2

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index+15

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 67%EV -0.22%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • New York Yankees

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 61

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 7-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.34% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 98%EV +1.34%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Trent Grisham vs Grant Rogers

Count Transition

1-1 → 2-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

91.3 MPH

Location

-0.91 x, 2.42 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 2-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +3.90% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

39% overturn probability and +1.03% expected value at challenge time.