Game 831654

Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins

Lee Health Sports Complex

Feb 21, 1:05 PM EST

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

BOS

123456789000010303

MIN

123456789100100000

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BOS	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	3	7	9	0	Challenges remaining: 0
MIN	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	4	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIN

BOS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIN3BOS3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIN33%BOS33%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIN0%BOS0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

25%

4 reviews

ELI 49.5

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 59.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 62

Overturned +28

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index+28

Two OutsTie Game

Top2 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.30% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.30%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.84% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Two Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.84%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Boston Red Sox

Wilyer Abreu challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Wilyer Abreu called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.31% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17

Less Than 2 Outs

Top9 • Minnesota Twins

Andrew Cossetti challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Nathan Hickey walks. Allan Castro to 2nd.

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 5-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.52% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Willson Contreras vs Eston Stull

Count Transition

Strikeout → 2-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

87.8 MPH

Location

-0.75 x, 1.45 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from Strikeout to 2-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -0.76% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.40% expected value at challenge time.