Game 831657

Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers

Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium

Feb 22, 1:05 PM EST

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

BAL

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DET

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BAL	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	9	0	Challenges remaining: 1
DET	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	7	1	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

DET

BAL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

DET2BAL1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

DET100%BAL0%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

DET0%BAL0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 60.5

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 64.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top5 • Baltimore Orioles

Samuel Basallo challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Samuel Basallo called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.87% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Two Outs

Bot5 • Detroit Tigers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 64

Overturned +29

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.87% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

Two Outs

Bot5 • Detroit Tigers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Overturned +26

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-3

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.54% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26

Two Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.54%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Samuel Basallo vs Bryan Sammons

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 5 • 4-3 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

92.2 MPH

Location

-0.65 x, 2.73 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Strikeout.

The review did not create a new state; Strikeout situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.87% expected value at challenge time.