Game 831739

Seattle Mariners at San Francisco Giants

Scottsdale Stadium

Mar 4, 9:05 PM EST

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

SEA

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
SEA	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	4	6	1	Challenges remaining: 2
SF	0	0	0	5	3	0	0	1	—	9	9	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

SEA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SF2SEA4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SF50%SEA100%

50%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SF0%SEA0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

4 reviews

ELI 44.8

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 50.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Cutter

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-R

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Seattle Mariners

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.75% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

RISPTwo OutsTie Game

OVR 67%EV +0.75%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot2 • San Francisco Giants

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.81% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.81%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot2 • Seattle Mariners

Andrew Knizner challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Eric Haase called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.04% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

Bot4 • Seattle Mariners

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 24

Overturned +11

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-5

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index+11

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.72%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • San Francisco Giants

Tyler Fitzgerald challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Tyler Fitzgerald called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Confirmed -12

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-8

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index-12

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Bot7 • Seattle Mariners

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +17

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-8

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.41% EV

Scenario Swing Index+17

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV +0.41%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Will Wilson vs Robbie Ray

Count Transition

0-1 → 1-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 2 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

95.8 MPH

Location

-0.86 x, 3.00 z

Umpire Count

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +1.55% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

67% overturn probability and +0.75% expected value at challenge time.