Game 831744
Goodyear Ballpark
Feb 22, 8:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:26 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
9 reviewed pitches so far • 6 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs LHB
60%
5 reviews
ELI 47.0
RHP vs RHB
100%
3 reviews
ELI 50.0
LHP vs LHB
0%
1 review
ELI 31.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
5 reviews • 60% overturned
Most Active Lane
Mid-R
4 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • Cincinnati Reds
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.14% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top1 • Seattle Mariners
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
0-2
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.45% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top4 • Cincinnati Reds
Low Pressure • ELI 31
Count Shift
2-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-5
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.28% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top5 • Seattle Mariners
Low Pressure • ELI 34
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 2-8
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.42% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top5 • Cincinnati Reds
Low Pressure • ELI 34
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 2-8
Count Edge
-1.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +2.33% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top6 • Cincinnati Reds
Low Pressure • ELI 36
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 5-8
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +3.13% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top7 • Cincinnati Reds
Medium Pressure • ELI 44
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 5-8
Count Edge
-1.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -6.04% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top8 • Cincinnati Reds
High Pressure • ELI 65
Count Shift
Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 7-8
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.71% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top8 • Seattle Mariners
High Pressure • ELI 72
Count Shift
Strikeout → 2-2
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 7-8
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.73% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831744: Seattle Mariners at Cincinnati Reds. Total challenges: 9. Overturned: 6. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Julio Rodríguez vs Connor Phillips
Count Transition
0-1 → 1-0
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Runner on 2nd
Top 5 • 2-8 • 1 out
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
34
Pitch
Sweeper
Velocity
85.1 MPH
Location
-0.88 x, 2.17 z
Count Before
0-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.109 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
45% overturn probability and -2.42% expected value at challenge time.