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Game 831754

Seattle Mariners at Chicago Cubs

Sloan Park

Mar 12, 8:05 PM UTC

Seattle Mariners Logo
Chicago Cubs Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Seattle Mariners Logo
SEA
001000030460
Challenges remaining: 1
Chicago Cubs Logo
CHC
00201040—7100
Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 22, 9:47 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CHC
SEA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CHC3SEA2
3
2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CHC100%SEA50%
100%
50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CHC0%SEA0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 50.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Chicago Cubs

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +50

Count Shift

Walk → Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Hold • +0.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index+50
Less Than 2 OutsTie GameFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot6 • Seattle Mariners

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -5.39% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV -5.39%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top8 • Seattle Mariners

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +27

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-7

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.95% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV -0.95%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot8 • Chicago Cubs

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Overturned +32

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-7

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.24% EV

Scenario Swing Index+32
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV +1.24%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top9 • Chicago Cubs

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +50

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-7

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.81% EV

Scenario Swing Index+50
Less Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Chicago Cubs secured a 7-4 victory over the Seattle Mariners at Sloan Park, with the game’s ABS narrative revolving around the high success rate of their challenges. The Cubs came into the afternoon with a perfect record on their appeals, overturning all three of their challenges. This dominance at the review booth contrasted with the Mariners’ mixed outcome—only one of two challenges was overturned—highlighting the Cubs’ sharper arbitration in key moments.

Five total challenges were made, four of which were overturned, underscoring the effective use of ABS to correct calls that impacted plate discipline and pitch counts. Notably, all three of Chicago’s successful challenges occurred in pivotal spots: in the bottom of the first, bottom of the eighth, and crucially, the bottom of the ninth inning. Each overturn adjusted counts in favor of the hitter, suggesting a tightening of the strike zone that helped mitigate potential pitch-outs or strikeouts.

Seattle's single overturned challenge came earlier in the game, with their second attempt falling short, showing a less consistent but still partially effective use of ABS. The plate umpire saw four out of five calls overturned, pointing toward a challenging environment behind the plate where ABS played a corrective role rather than consistently confirming calls.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B2-2ChangeupKCFMBK

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Will Wilson vs Vince Reilly

Count Transition

2-2 → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Plate Appearance Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 9 • 4-7 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

50

Pitch

Changeup

Velocity

88.6 MPH

Location

-0.73 x, 3.17 z

Count Before

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-2 to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.077 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.81% expected value at challenge time.

Though pitch-location data shows mixed levels of precision due to some inferred coordinates, the overturned calls all involved clear count-altering decisions rather than ball-in-play rulings or ambiguous strike calls. This steady pattern helped push key innings along in favor of Chicago, contributing to the flow and eventual spread of their lead without late-game controversy.

Debrief quality