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Game 831762

San Francisco Giants at Kansas City Royals

Surprise Stadium

Mar 11, 8:05 PM UTC

San Francisco Giants Logo
Kansas City Royals Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
San Francisco Giants Logo
SF
0040001005141
Challenges remaining: 1
Kansas City Royals Logo
KC
000000101230
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 22, 9:46 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

KC
SF

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

KC3SF2
3
2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

KC33%SF50%
33%
50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

KC0%SF0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 28.0

RHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 42.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

4 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot3 • San Francisco Giants

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 28

Overturned +20

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 4-0

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index+20
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV -1.03%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top7 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • 4-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.58% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15
RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot9 • San Francisco Giants

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 5-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • +0.04% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV +0.04%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot9 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +35

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 5-1

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.13% EV

Scenario Swing Index+35
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV +1.13%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot9 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 5-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.29% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV -0.29%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

San Francisco Giants secured a 5-2 win over the Kansas City Royals in a game shaped notably by the use of ABS challenges, which contributed to refining key plate appearances and maintaining game momentum. The contest featured five total challenges, with two ultimately overturned—one for each team—and three confirmed. This balance of outcomes underscored a cautious but impactful use of the system, without any late-and-close challenges altering the game's final stages.

The Giants demonstrated timely strategic use of ABS, overturning a called strike in the bottom of the third inning during Patrick Bailey's at-bat, shifting the count from 1-0 to 0-1. This adjustment occurred with the score already favoring the Giants 4-0, helping to sustain their offensive rhythm early on. Meanwhile, Kansas City’s successful challenge came in the bottom of the ninth when Carson Roccaforte’s pitch was initially ruled a ball at 1-2, but ABS review corrected it to a strike at 2-1, slightly shifting the count late in a 5-1 score scenario. The Royals also had a called strike challenge for Tyler Gentry confirmed in the same inning, maintaining the umpire’s decision but reflecting active engagement with ABS in the game's waning moments.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM0-1SweeperCFMCFMBK

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Tyler Gentry vs Will Bednar

Count Transition

0-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Bot 9 • 5-2 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

54

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

86.4 MPH

Location

0.27 x, 1.79 z

Count Before

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

53% overturn probability and -0.29% expected value at challenge time.

Overall, the plate umpire’s line included five challenged calls with a 40 percent overturn rate, consistent with the split outcomes between teams. Although one pitch location relied on inferred tracking data, the evidence points to a generally reliable ABS influence on borderline calls that adjusted at-bats without drastically reshaping game leverage. The pattern of challenges clustered in the bottom innings, particularly the ninth and third, suggests a selective use of ABS where counts and situations justified intervention but with an emphasis on accuracy over frequency.

Debrief quality