Game 831766

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers

Camelback Ranch

Mar 21, 1:05 AM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
SD	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	6	1	Challenges remaining: 0
LAD	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	—	4	10	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

LAD

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

LAD3SD2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

LAD100%SD0%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

LAD0%SD100%

100%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

Directional only

No handedness split has separated in the live review sample yet.

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +36

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -4.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index+36

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 45%EV -4.11%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot4 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+1.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.12% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37

Two Outs

OVR 45%EV -2.12%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot5 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 0-2

Count Edge

+27.7 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.28% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37

RISPTwo OutsBases Loaded

OVR 45%EV +0.28%MEDIUM RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +4.0 ptsBB +27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top9 • San Diego Padres

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 66

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 3-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.58% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 53%EV -0.58%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top9 • San Diego Padres

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 71

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -4.64% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 53%EV -4.64%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Andy Pages vs Marco Gonzales

Count Transition

1-2 → 2-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

1st and 2nd

Bot 2 • Tie 0-0 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

90.8 MPH

Location

-0.62 x, 3.51 z

Count Before

1-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-2 to 2-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.140 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -4.11% expected value at challenge time.