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Game 831771

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Angels

Tempe Diablo Stadium

Mar 10, 8:10 PM UTC

San Diego Padres Logo
Los Angeles Angels Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
San Diego Padres Logo
SD
02050101110150
Challenges remaining: 2
Los Angeles Angels Logo
LAA
011000000281
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 10, 11:05 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

LAA
SD

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

LAA5SD0
5
0

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceLAA60%SDN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

60%
N/A

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceLAA0%SDN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

0%
N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 50.7

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 45.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Cutter

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Los Angeles Angels

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +33

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+1.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.44% EV

Scenario Swing Index+33
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 45%EV +0.44%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot1 • Los Angeles Angels

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +36

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.92% EV

Scenario Swing Index+36
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 45%EV +0.92%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot2 • Los Angeles Angels

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.65% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +1.65%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot2 • Los Angeles Angels

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-1

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.07% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37
Two Outs
OVR 45%EV +1.07%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot3 • Los Angeles Angels

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.20% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19
RISPTwo OutsTie Game
OVR 53%EV +2.20%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The San Diego Padres secured a decisive 10-2 victory over the Los Angeles Angels at Tempe Diablo Stadium, with the central ABS narrative highlighting the Angels’ challenges with close pitch calls that were successfully overturned. Of five total challenges, three were overturned in favor of the Angels, all on ball calls, while Padres’ challenges went unchallenged and therefore remained unoverturned. This corrective influence on the count had a notable effect on individual plate appearances, especially early in the game.

The Angels’ most active innings for challenge activity were the first two frames, where three overturned calls shifted counts from 0-1 to 1-0 or 0-2 to 1-1. For example, the overturns on balls called against Nolan Schanuel, Zach Neto, and Nick Madrigal gave these hitters more favorable counts, potentially altering their approach and at-bats. All of these adjustments came early when the score was close or tied, suggesting that the Angels were aggressively seeking to capitalize on borderline calls to generate offensive momentum. That said, none of these challenges resulted in hits or runs at that juncture, and the Padres extended their lead comfortably as the game progressed.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM0-2SinkerKKKCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Jo Adell vs Walker Buehler

Count Transition

0-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 3rd

Bot 3 • Tie 2-2 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

55

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

93.0 MPH

Location

0.61 x, 1.64 z

Count Before

0-2

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 0-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +2.20% expected value at challenge time.

From an umpire zone perspective, pitch-location data was complete for all challenges, lending confidence to the three overturned calls. The plate umpire’s original calls yielded a 3-in-5 overturn rate, indicating a modest need for review correctness on ball-strike judgments in early innings. There were no late or high-leverage challenges, which is consistent with the clear scoring margin and early game concrete rulings.

Overall, the ABS story emphasized the Angels’ utilization of the challenge system to correct early pitch calls that adjusted hitter counts, although the Padres’ consistency at the plate and defense ultimately determined the game’s trajectory. While the challenge outcomes helped the Angels avoid some initial pitch count disadvantages, the Padres’ commanding offense overwhelmed the game narrative beyond these contestable strike zone moments.

Debrief quality