Game 831775
Surprise Stadium
Feb 21, 8:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:25 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
3 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 48.0
LHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 53.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Changeup
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-M
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot2 • San Diego Padres
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.65% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top3 • Kansas City Royals
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.12% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top9 • Kansas City Royals
Medium Pressure • ELI 53
Count Shift
2-0 → 1-1
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 10-3
Count Edge
+0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.54% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831775: San Diego Padres at Kansas City Royals. Total challenges: 3. Overturned: 3. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Jose Miranda vs Oscar Rayo
Count Transition
2-0 → 1-1
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
1st and 2nd
Top 9 • 10-3 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
53
Pitch
Changeup
Velocity
89.5 MPH
Location
-0.11 x, 1.64 z
Count Before
2-0
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 2-0 to 1-1.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.172 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +1.54% expected value at challenge time.