Game 831776
Salt River Fields at Talking Stick
Feb 27, 8:10 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:27 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs LHB
75%
4 reviews
ELI 51.5
RHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 61.0
LHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 75.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
5 reviews • 60% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-M
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot4 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.47% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top5 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 61
Count Shift
1-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.45% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top6 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 56
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +2.27% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot6 • San Diego Padres
Medium Pressure • ELI 52
Count Shift
2-0 → 1-1
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
+0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +7.56% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot6 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 52
Count Shift
2-2
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +4.68% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top9 • San Diego Padres
High Pressure • ELI 75
Count Shift
0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 2-2
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.39% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831776: San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies. Total challenges: 6. Overturned: 4. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Troy Johnston vs Triston McKenzie
Count Transition
2-0 → 1-1
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Runner on 2nd
Bot 6 • Tie 1-1 • 0 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
52
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
94.5 MPH
Location
0.59 x, 1.59 z
Count Before
2-0
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 2-0 to 1-1.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.129 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +7.56% expected value at challenge time.