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Game 831778

San Diego Padres at Oakland Athletics

Hohokam Stadium

Mar 13, 8:05 PM UTC

San Diego Padres Logo
Oakland Athletics Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
San Diego Padres Logo
SD
32010005213161
Challenges remaining: 0
Oakland Athletics Logo
ATH
0007001019121
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 22, 9:49 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

ATH
SD

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

ATH4SD4
4
4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

ATH75%SD50%
75%
50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

ATH50%SD50%
50%
50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

8 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 36.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 33.0

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Curveball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Oakland Athletics

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Overturned +28

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • 3-0

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +3.82% EV

Scenario Swing Index+28
RISPTwo Outs
OVR 53%EV +3.82%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot2 • San Diego Padres

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 24

Overturned +17

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-0

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.71% EV

Scenario Swing Index+17
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +1.71%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot3 • San Diego Padres

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 33

Overturned +33

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.27% EV

Scenario Swing Index+33
Two Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot5 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +35

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 6-7

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.91% EV

Scenario Swing Index+35
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV -0.91%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top7 • Oakland Athletics

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +43

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 6-7

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.83% EV

Scenario Swing Index+43
Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 53%EV -0.83%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top8 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 7-8

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.87% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20
RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseBases LoadedFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top8 • San Diego Padres

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • 9-8

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.46% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20
RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 53%EV -2.46%MEDIUM RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top8 • San Diego Padres

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • 10-8

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.88% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18
RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 53%EV -1.88%MEDIUM RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The San Diego Padres edged out the Oakland Athletics 13-9 in a high-scoring affair at Hohokam Stadium, where the AiBS review system played a pivotal role in clarifying several key umpire decisions. With a total of 8 challenges issued, 5 were overturned — a rate that reflects a solid level of review accuracy, especially as the plate umpire’s calls were reversed on more than half of the opportunities. This balance of confirmed and overturned calls illustrates how technology increasingly refines the human element without undermining it, and how persistent review struggles were concentrated late in the game.

Notably, the A’s were slightly more successful in getting calls overturned (3 of 4) compared to the Padres (2 of 4), and crucially, some of the most impactful challenges altered the pitching dynamics in key innings. On one occasion in the bottom of the 3rd inning, an overturned called strike on Rodolfo Durán shifted the count from 1-2 to 0-3, modifying not just the pitch sequence but also the batter’s mindset at a time when the Padres led comfortably at 5-0. Similarly, late-and-close situations in the 5th and 7th innings saw ball and strike calls reversed to favor the Athletics, with counts adjusting enough to influence how hitters and pitchers approached subsequent pitches.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B2-1CurveballCFMKBBCFMBCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Rodolfo Durán vs Jake Garland

Count Transition

2-1 → 1-2

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

1st and 3rd

Top 1 • 3-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

39

Pitch

Curveball

Velocity

76.3 MPH

Location

0.32 x, 3.23 z

Count Before

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.120 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +3.82% expected value at challenge time.

The bottom of the 8th inning was the game’s most active for challenges, highlighting that umpire decisions often came under the microscope when the contest tightened. Though pitch-location data was available for all challenges, two relied partially on inferred coordinates, so any conclusions about strike zone consistency should remain tentative. Overall, the AiBS interventions provided meaningful corrections that affected count sequences and momentum swings, contributing both to the flow of a back-and-forth game and to the preservation of fundamental fairness at the plate.

Debrief quality