Top1 • Oakland Athletics
Called Strike
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • 3-0
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +3.82% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Game 831778
Hohokam Stadium
Mar 13, 8:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 22, 9:49 PM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
8 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 36.0
RHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 33.0
LHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 60.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Curveball
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-R
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • Oakland Athletics
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • 3-0
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +3.82% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot2 • San Diego Padres
Low Pressure • ELI 24
Count Shift
2-0 → 1-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 5-0
Count Edge
+0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.71% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot3 • San Diego Padres
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
1-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 5-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.27% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot5 • Oakland Athletics
Medium Pressure • ELI 48
Count Shift
1-2 → 2-1
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 6-7
Count Edge
+0.9 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.91% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top7 • Oakland Athletics
Medium Pressure • ELI 60
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 6-7
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.83% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top8 • Oakland Athletics
Medium Pressure • ELI 56
Count Shift
Walk
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • 7-8
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.87% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top8 • San Diego Padres
Medium Pressure • ELI 56
Count Shift
1-2
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • 9-8
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.46% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top8 • San Diego Padres
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
1-1
Base / Score
Runner on 3rd • 10-8
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.88% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
The San Diego Padres edged out the Oakland Athletics 13-9 in a high-scoring affair at Hohokam Stadium, where the AiBS review system played a pivotal role in clarifying several key umpire decisions. With a total of 8 challenges issued, 5 were overturned — a rate that reflects a solid level of review accuracy, especially as the plate umpire’s calls were reversed on more than half of the opportunities. This balance of confirmed and overturned calls illustrates how technology increasingly refines the human element without undermining it, and how persistent review struggles were concentrated late in the game.
Notably, the A’s were slightly more successful in getting calls overturned (3 of 4) compared to the Padres (2 of 4), and crucially, some of the most impactful challenges altered the pitching dynamics in key innings. On one occasion in the bottom of the 3rd inning, an overturned called strike on Rodolfo Durán shifted the count from 1-2 to 0-3, modifying not just the pitch sequence but also the batter’s mindset at a time when the Padres led comfortably at 5-0. Similarly, late-and-close situations in the 5th and 7th innings saw ball and strike calls reversed to favor the Athletics, with counts adjusting enough to influence how hitters and pitchers approached subsequent pitches.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Rodolfo Durán vs Jake Garland
Count Transition
2-1 → 1-2
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
1st and 3rd
Top 1 • 3-0 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
39
Pitch
Curveball
Velocity
76.3 MPH
Location
0.32 x, 3.23 z
Count Before
2-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.120 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +3.82% expected value at challenge time.
The bottom of the 8th inning was the game’s most active for challenges, highlighting that umpire decisions often came under the microscope when the contest tightened. Though pitch-location data was available for all challenges, two relied partially on inferred coordinates, so any conclusions about strike zone consistency should remain tentative. Overall, the AiBS interventions provided meaningful corrections that affected count sequences and momentum swings, contributing both to the flow of a back-and-forth game and to the preservation of fundamental fairness at the plate.