Game 831789
Sloan Park
Mar 22, 7:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 25, 3:25 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
5 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs RHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 27.0
RHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 42.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Sinker
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-L
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot2 • Milwaukee Brewers
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
Walk → 3-2
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • 0-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.22% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot4 • Chicago Cubs
Low Pressure • ELI 24
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-5
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.36% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot5 • Chicago Cubs
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 0-5
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.77% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top8 • Milwaukee Brewers
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 0-12
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.65% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top9 • Chicago Cubs
Medium Pressure • ELI 44
Count Shift
3-1 → 2-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 0-12
Count Edge
-27.7 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.43% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs ended with Milwaukee Brewers 0, Chicago Cubs 12, and the ABS layer of the game was defined by 5 total challenges with 4 overturns. Chicago Cubs got the most value from review, finishing 2-for-3 on its challenges.
In Bottom 9, Chicago Cubs challenged for Eric Yang on a Called Strike, and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 8, Milwaukee Brewers challenged for on a , and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 2, challenged for on a , and the review overturned the call.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Alex Bregman vs Chad Patrick
Count Transition
0-1 → 1-0
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Runner on 2nd
Bot 5 • 0-5 • 0 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
30
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
93.6 MPH
Location
-0.36 x, 3.43 z
Count Before
0-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.067 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
45% overturn probability and -1.77% expected value at challenge time.
Overall, the plate umpire had 4 calls overturned out of 5 reviews, with 1 confirmed. Pitch-location evidence was available on 5 of 5 challenges, but 1 relied on inferred coordinates, so zone takeaways should stay measured. 1 challenge locations relied on inferred coordinates, so any zone commentary should be treated as directional rather than exact. This recap used the deterministic fallback template rather than a model-written narrative, so it stays compact and evidence-based.